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Derivatives Markets and Risk Management Techniques in the...-
Derivatives Markets and Risk Management Techniques in the Liquidity Crisis in 2007
Nr. | Название главы | Стр. |
Introduction | 3 | |
An Overview of the Liquidity Crisis | 4 | |
Assessment of Derivatives and Risk Management Techniques (Part 1) | 6 | |
An Overview of the Orange County Crisis | 8 | |
Assessment of Derivatives and Risk Management Techniques (Part 2) | 9 | |
Orange County Recovery Plan | 11 | |
Conclusions | 12 | |
Appendix 1 | 14 | |
References | 16 |
Conclusions
The practise of combination derivatives into complex financial products has shown that the risk on the balance sheet is only the tip of an iceberg of the actual combination of market, liquidity and credit risks that has been created (Rajan, 2005). One of the main issues with derivative financial products, such as CDO, CDS, inverse floaters and repos was that they were increasingly complex and opaque (Kolb, 2010; Valdez and Molyniux, 2010).
However, despite the complexity of derivatives, once measurements of risks are defined and correct oversight mechanisms put in place, derivatives on their own present no threat (Jorion, 1995). Al in all, even though Citron was not motivated by financial incentives and Orange County was not involved into the moral hazard in the same way as actors in the liquidity crisis; the insufficient risk management was the uniting problem for both crises.
Moreover, actions of both crises occurred within a particular setting. For instance, subprime lending triggered the liquidity crisis. The U.S. leaders, in turn, created the lax environment for the Orange County in response to the limitations that the county and local governments faced after Proposition 13 (Baldassare, 1998).
In the long run, even though mistakes in investing in derivatives had a big impact on the portfolio value and liquidity, the unwinding of both crises were still more related to the excessive leverage, lack of control, and relatively large holdings of securities (Jorion, 1995; Koselka and Munk, 1996; Marthinsen, 2009; Halstead, Hedge and Klein, 2004).
To sum up, according to Dunbar (2001), “market crises are not hurricanes, they are created by human behaviours”.
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Derivatives markets and risk management techniques in the Liquidity crisis in 2007, and the Orange County crisis The liquidity crisis was a first stage of the financial crisis of 2007-2008, which was the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression era of the 1930s. As institutions had high uncertainty about one another’s solvency, they stopped lending to each other, which also led to the liquidity crisis. Another prominent crisis happened in a municipality in California, the USA – Orange County, which filed for Chapter 9 protection and declared bankruptcy on December 6, 1994. Municipal bankruptcies usually are rare events and occur only in rural places, as large cities manage to avoid bankruptcies through government rescue programmes. The Orange County bankruptcy was the biggest municipal bankruptcy in U.S. history, and, therefore, a shocking event for a rich and thriving county “with a national reputation for its affluent residents and conservative politicians”. At a first glance, these two crises seem different. The liquidity crisis happened on the global level and had a uniting problem of moral hazard, i.e. the incentive of compensation that motivated managers, bankers and traders. In contrast, the Orange County crisis occurred on more local level. Moreover, County Treasurer, Robert Citron, had no financial incentives to motivate him. Citron’s ignorance of other perspectives was based on his arrogance and over-confidence in his strategy. However, this essay argues, that there were also main derivatives and risk management techniques, which contributed to the development of both crises in a similar way. These are discussed and assessed in the following sections of the essay. In the conclusions section the similarities of two crises are provided.
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